Showing posts with label player attrition. Show all posts
Showing posts with label player attrition. Show all posts

Saturday, July 25, 2009

All Your Quarterback Are Belong To Us


It figures that I'd say something incredibly stupid at the very end of an earlier post about Michigan fans abstaining from panic until such time that Rich Rodriguez's own 2008 and 2009 football recruits hit the exits. Well, this particular recruit has been actually shown the exits by the coach, so it's not exactly the same thing as the AHhhh...RUN FOR YOUR LIVES!-tactic employed by Boren and Wermers.

Former backup quarterback and slot receiver Justin Feagin has been dismissed from the Michigan football team for violating team rules.

The loss of Justin Feagin is probably not going to impact Michigan's upcoming football season one iota.

The Wolverines are not exactly stacked at quarterback, but with Tate Forcier, Denard Robinson and Nick Sheridan, there's enough talent or experience to get by well enough this fall. Feagin was a 2 star, 93rd ranked QB in the freshman class of 2008.

The slot receiver position, which had become Feagin's new football vocation ever since Nick Sheridan beat him out for the second string QB role last year, is stacked. The Wolverines still have Roy Roundtree, Terrance Robinson, Je-Ron Stokes in the lineup, plus a long laundry list of outside receivers and backup running backs that could play slot.

I liked Feagin as a quarterback, but by about the 3rd game of season I decided to stop wasting all of my time thinking about why in the hell Sheridan was getting so many reps under center while Feagin was wasting away on the sidelines.

It's a shame to see poor judgement take Mr. Feagin away from Michigan. Wish him all the best in his future endeavors.

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

The Schembechler Transition


In 1968 Michigan’s football team finished the regular season 8-2 overall and 6-1 in conference. It was a rebound year for the Wolverines after a 4-6 finish in 1967.

The Wolverines started and ended the 1968 campaign on similar down notes, losing to California 7-21 in Ann Arbor for the season opener, and then getting utterly humiliated by a powerful Ohio State team in Columbus 50-14 in the final game. Of course, this was the infamous OSU-Michigan contest where Buckeye head coach Woody Hayes answered a post game interview question as to why Ohio State went for a 2 point conversion after a late touchdown score with the game already well out of reach.

Woody’s flippant response?

“Because I couldn’t go for three!”

And with those words the fires of rivalry hatred were successfully stoked for another 100 years.

At the conclusion of the 1968 season Michigan coach Bump Elliott retired to become the associate director of athletics at Michigan between 1969 and 1970. Bo Schembechler, an unknown football coach at the time from Miami (Ohio) with no historical ties to Michigan, had been hired by Michigan Athletic Director, Don Canham, to take over for Elliott as head coach of the Wolverines in 1969. Schembechler played for two extremely different coaches in his own career at Miami (OH): Sid Gilman, the inventor of the West Coast passing offense and Woody Hayes, a militaristic-style disciplinarian and proponent of “three yards and a cloud of dust”, i.e. unapologetic smash mouth football.

Clearly, Schembechler had been most impressed by Hayes’s approach.

At Michigan, Schembechler introduced his own merciless approach, coaching his players through in-your-face confrontation, an explosive temper, and rigorous conditioning. Bo demanded nothing short of perfection from his players in the fundamentals of the game, particularly blocking, tackling and hustling to the football on every play.

There have been many different accounts of what exactly happened during the change over from Bump Elliott’s system to Bo Schembechler’s system. Schembechler’s first spring camp in 1969 was apparently so physically strenuous and mentally exhausting compared to Elliott’s, that out of 140 players who entered spring camp, only 70+ remained standing at the end.

In 1968, Michigan had 143 players on the roster. 22 players graduated in 1968, leaving 121 players from 1968 available to return to the 1969 Wolverine roster, plus Bo’s own incoming freshmen. I’ve analyzed the 1968 roster, subtracted the seniors and counted up those 1968 players with eligibility that were “missing” from the 1969 roster. This would tell us how many players in total “defected” during the 1969 Spring Camp that Schembechler hosted and perhaps some from fall practice.

My count showed only 37 players left the team between 1968 and 1969. This is pretty much half of what circulating legends have implied. I received many critical comments about my analysis of attrition under Rich Rodriguez at West Virginia (and rightly so) because I included walkons in the analysis. I probably should have centered most of the attention on actual starters (typically scholarship players). It’s difficult to determine who was a walk on and who was on scholarship back in 2001-2002, let alone during the Lyndon Johnson Administration.

I think it it safe to assume that “no walkons became starters at Michigan in 1968 and 1969”. With that assumption, for the 1968-1969 transition to the Schembechler system, I found zero player defections in terms of 1st team and 2nd team starters for both years. Players with eligibility that started for Elliott in 1968, or were in the two deep in 1968, stayed on the team in 1969 to play for Schembechler and/or made the two deep depth chart.

What’s interesting about this finding is that no matter how hellish Schembechler’s practice and coaching methods may have been, a good number of players stayed. Furthermore, there were no career- or season-ending injuries in spring or fall practice in 1969, a la Cory Zirbel, or Terrance Robinson.

Players in bold graduated in 1968.

1968 Offense





Pos1st TeamNo.Yr2nd TeamNo.Yr
QBDennis Brown22Sr.Brian Healy24Jr.
FBGarvie Craw48Jr.Bob Wedge38Sr.
TBRon Johnson40Sr.Tom Curtis25Jr.
TBJohn Gabler18Jr.George Hoey12Sr.
TEJim Mandich88Jr.Mike Hankwitz81Jr.
TEJerry Imsland86Jr.William Harris80Jr.
OTBob Penska76Sr.Tom Goss65Sr.
OGRich Caldarazzo56JrTom Stincic90Sr.
CDavid Denzin52Sr.Jerry Miklos94Sr.
OGStanley Broadnax61Sr.Lance Scheffler45So.
OTDan Dierdorf72So.Daniel Parks74So.
1968 Defense





Pos1st TeamNo.Yr2nd TeamNo.Yr
DEPhil Seymour91Jr.


DTTom Goss65Sr.


NTHenry Hill39So.Jerry Miklos94Sr.
DTDaniel Parks74So.


DECecil Pryor55Jr.Jon Kramer84Sr.
LBTom Stincic90Sr.


LBEd Moore97So.


CBBrian Healy24Jr.Jerry Hartman26Sr.
STom Curtis25Jr.


SBob Wedge38Sr.


CBGeorge Hoey12Sr.








1969 Offense
Pos1st TeamNo.Yr2nd TeamNo.Yr
QBDon Moorhead27Jr.
FBGarvie Craw48Sr.John Gabler18Sr.
TBGlenn Doughty22So.Billy Taylor42So.
TBBryan Healy24Sr.Preston Henry44So.
TEJim Mandich88Sr.Mike Keller90So.
TEWilliam Harris80Sr.Paul Staroba30Jr.
OTJack Harpring71Jr.Fred Grambau92So.
OGRichard Caldarazzo56Sr.Al Carpenter94So.
CGuy Murdock53So.Peter Newell82Jr.
OGBob Baumgartner60Sr.Henry Hill39Sr.
OTDan Dierdorf72Jr.Marty Huff70Jr.
1969 Defense
Pos1st TeamNo.Yr2nd TeamNo.Yr
DEMike Keller90So.
DTFred Grambau92So.
NTHenry Hill39Sr.
DTPeter Newell82Jr.
DECecil Pryor55Sr.
LBMary Huff70Jr.
LBEd Moore97Jr.Mike Taylor33So.
CBBarry Pierson29Sr.
STom Darden35So.Frank Gusich14So.
STom Curtis25Sr.
CBBrian Healy24Sr.

Bo brought in a hard-nosed approach that probably shocked many of the 1968 players. However, most of the veteran, scholarship players stuck it out. Bo was fortunate not to have lost many players to injury during the transition. Michigan was 3-2 at one point in 1969 preparing to play Minnesota, a team that won share of the Big Ten in 1967. The Gophers possessed Little Brown Jug from the 20-15 win over UM a year earlier. Under Schembechler the Michigan team decked the Gophers 35-9. I’m not saying that was THE turning point, but following the road loss to Michigan State one week earlier, one can imagine the Wolverine team finally starting to believe in this new Bo character after such a decisive win.

Perhaps it is ridiculous to think we can compare 1968-1969 with 2008-2009. College football has changed in so many ways over 40 years time, not all of them good. I suspect that the biggest differences have been the amount of sensationalist media coverage of college football, and the amount of money that has saturated the sport. The glorification of high school athletes and college football recruits, and the multi-million dollar salaries of the head football coaches would probably have appear rather strange to Bo and his contemporaries back in 1969.

Rodriguez isn’t exactly running a country club at Michigan either. Including injuries, medical leaves and players transfers, Rich Rodriguez is approaching year 2 at Michigan. Two of the fourteen were injury related, which leaves the remaining 12 for “other reasons”. All 14 were scholarship players.

So should Michigan fans be worried?

The time to start worrying is whenever Rich Rodriguez’s own 2008 and 2009 crop of scholarship recruits would begin heading for the exits.

Saturday, July 18, 2009

History Suggests More Will Leave


I posted earlier about Michigan’s own illustrious history of both returning player and recruiting class attrition, and the impact it can have on a football team’s depth chart. When players leave a football team, it can thin depth chart in dramatic ways that are not immediately evident. After Rich Rodriguez conducted 2008 post-season interviews with all of the Michigan football players to make sure they were really on board and “All in for Michigan”, several players still decided to part ways with the Wolverine football program including wide receiver Toney Clemons, and offensive lineman Dann O’Neill and Kurt Wermers.

I guess this is the part in the movie where Wolverine fans everywhere are supposed to be frozen in terror at what must surely be the systematic destruction of the entire football program from within.

There’s only one minor problem with all of this flailing about in uncontrolled panic.

It’s not news.

That football players end up leaving when a new regime takes over should surprise no one. It doesn’t happen universally with all coaching changes. But we know that player departures have been a common occurrence in Rich Rodriguez’s coaching past - and at far more worrying rates that what the media is currently observing at Michigan.

Players leave college football teams for all sorts of reasons. Many times these athletes leave because they don’t see eye-to-eye with the head coach and his staff. Other times players leave for reasons that have nothing to do with the head coach at all. Injuries, academics and personal issues can all lead to similar outcomes.

It might be interesting to look at the player defections that occurred when Rich Rodriguez first arrived at West Virginia in 2001 when he took over the reigns from long-standing Mountaineer head coach Don Nehlen.

It might very well surprise that unimpeachable squad of sports journalists at ESPN to know that there was a lot of player attrition at West Virginia during Rich Rodriguez’s tenure there. I carefully reviewed West Virginia’s complete football rosters between 2000 and 2007. Normally such rosters are posted around the August time frame shortly before the college football season begins. These fall rosters included incoming freshmen players (new recruits). In West Virginia’s case there were a very high quantity of players on these historical rosters, which no doubt included a good number of walk-on players (non-scholarship). I also analyzed the West Virginia depth charts during Nehlen-Rodriguez regime between 2000-2007 to consider key players on the two deep (first and second team offense and defense). I took into consideration graduating seniors each year, and made sure to capture those players with remaining eligibility. By comparing player names on back-to-back annual August football team rosters, one can fairly easily deduce which players left the football team each year. I did not factor in those player defections that may have taken place between 2007 and 2008 after Rich Rodriguez left West Virginia to coach at Michigan. All of this took a good amount of time to work through. I totaled up the numbers, and came up with some pretty shocking results.

It would require an incredible amount of time that I don’t have (and access to a lot of hidden or expensive information) to determine the exact dates when players left the WVU football team under Rodriguez, or to determine their individual reasons for doing so. The numbers below indicate the quantity of players that left.

This is not an indictment against Rich Rodriguez nor against any of the players who left the team while he was head coach. It’s simply an estimated tally.

Here are the totals of player departures by season, by class, and taking into consideration graduating seniors (Player Departures with Eligibility).

If we assumed that 50% of these players left the WVU team each year for reasons other than hating the head coach and his ways, i.e. personal issues, family issues, want to concentrate on academics, health issues, debilitating football injury, doesn’t want to play football anymore, wants to move closer to home, then the remaining 50% still seems like a rather high number (to me at any rate).

Again, these numbers take into consideration freshman recruits and walk-ons for each year.


Rich Rodriguez 2001-2007







YearFr.So.Jr.Sr.Total Player DeparturesPlayer Departures with EligibilityTotal WVU Roster Count% Roster Attrition
20001513414463211528%
2001136719452611622%
2002116524462212318%
2003149416432713121%
2004235522553313524%
2005207918543613826%
2006145723492612820%

Below I add some more detail as to quantity of player defections by position group. It’s interesting to look at this chart and then consider which position group might have struggled most with the workout regimen of Mike Barwis. It would appear that offensive lineman, linebackers, receivers and secondary position players dropped off the team most frequently during this period of time:


Rich Rodriguez 2001-2007









YearQBRBWRTEOLDLLBSECSTTotal
200023225575132
200111814424126
200203111546122
200322403166327
200417538043233
200525624255536
200601324165123
Total82229112918343414199

I submit two more detailed examples of the above analysis.

2000

West Virginia finished 7-5-0 and won the Music City Bowl game vs. Mississippi 49-38.
There were 14 graduating seniors in 2000. Players with eligibility (Freshman, Sophomores, Juniors) from 2000 who were not on the 2001 team roster are shown below. We see 32 players departing the West Virginia roster (46 if we include the 14 seniors). Apparently 12 of these 32 had scholarships. The remainder may have been walk-ons. Some detail of the Nehlen players from the 2000 season that were not found on the 2001 Rodriguez team roster:


2000



NamePosPos GrpClassComments
Aaron CochranRBRBSo
Adam LangLBLBFr
Anthony NolenCBSECFr
Anthony WilsonCBSECFr
Brian HummerDTDLSo
Colin TuckerRBRBSo
Cortez McNeilDEDLJr
Jamien HarveyLBLBSo2nd Team LB
Jared HostetlerQBQBFrNephew of NFL QB Jeff Hostetler and former WVU QB.
Jay GarrettLBLBSo
Jeremy ShermanGOLJr2nd Team OG
Jerome TaylorGOLSo
JeVon IknerWRWRSo
Joe ScritchfieldCBSECFr
Jon ShafferKSTFr
Jonathan BrittonWRWRFr
Josh KellyCOLSo2nd Team C
Josh TetrickLBLBFr
Justin JohnsonGOLFr
Kevin RookerCBSECFr
Michael VernilloRBRBFr
Nathan WaltersLBLBFr
Rondrick SmithGOLSo2nd Team OG
Scott McBrienQBQBFr2nd Team QB. Transferred to Maryland.
Sean BertonTETESo1st Team TE. Transferred to NC State. Not happy with the new coach?
Shannon WashingtonDEDLJr2nd Team DT
Shaun PiperLBLBSo
Steve TerleskyTETESo
Terrance MartinDEDLJr
Todd MosbyLBLBFr
William PerryDTDLSo2nd Team NT
Yulkeith BrownCBSECFr

2001
West Virginia will finish 3-8-0 in Rodriguez’s inaugural season. The Mountaineers will be coming off their worst college football season results since the 2-9-0 record in 1978 under then coach Frank Cignetti. More veteran players (26) with remaining eligibility decide to hit the road:


2001



NamePosPos GrpClassComments
Adam CantoniRBRBFr
Bo GrahamWRWRFr
Bobby WoodsWRWRFr
Brian CholpDTDLSo
Caleb CooperTETEJr1st Team TE
Cecil HagwoodDEDLFr2nd Team DE
Chad LavenderLBLBSo
Chris KnapperWRWRJr
Danny EmbrickQBQBFr2nd Team QB
Derek JonesWRWRFr
Greg MittleiderTOLSo2nd Team OT
Harold LeathWRWRFr
Isaac IrbyWRWRSo
James WoodruffCBSECJr2nd Team CB
Jason ParmerGOLSo
Jeremy WilliamsKSTFr
Josh RomeoWRWRFr
Justin WilliamsCOLFr2nd Team C
Marlon BurnetteWRWRFr
Matt AmeriDEDLFr
O'Rondai CoxCBSECJr
Pat MorrisonCBSECFr
Quentin SwainLBLBSo
Robert SpencerCBSECJr
Sedrick LewisDTDLJr2nd Team DT
Tim FrostTOLJr1st Team OT

And on and on it goes.

Again, I will not pretend to know why these players left the football team. Whether they hated Rich Rodriguez or Barwis or simply had better plans for themselves and their lives, I cannot say. Don't know. I simply find it interesting to see this number of player drop offs year-to-year and have begun to ask myself what this means for Michigan football. This does provide some new perspective for Michigan fans as to just what in the hell Rich Rodriguez means when he says things like “when we get our numbers back up” in terms of the future Michigan football rosters.

Some Conclusions
All I can say is “wow”. I didn’t expect to find this. I admit that I might be “missing something” in my analysis. Like the whole eligibility deal. A kid could be listed as a junior on some college football roster, but have sophomore eligibility, etc. There could be errors there. But this doesn’t explain why players obviously and completely “disappeared” from one season to the next.That can only be explained by players leaving the team. And a lot of them clearly did.

Again, without conducting thorough player interviews it’s difficult to tell why these players left. It would however not be surprising to find out that a significant number of players from the Nehlen era left the WVU football team either due to Rodriguez’s coaching methods or style, or to his hellish conditioning boot camp under Drill Sergeant Barwis. Or both. Furthermore, the player attrition did not cease or level off once Rodriguez’s program became more firmly accepted and established at West Virginia. It is clear that even new WVU recruits and walk-ons departed the program early.

A Word About Rodriguez’s Coaching Style
Much has already been written about Rodriguez methods to motivate his football players. Rodriguez is confrontational, demands perfection, and swears like a trucker during football practice. For some WVU players, this would have been a dramatic change to the Don Nehlen’s coaching style. For some players the change must have been extremely upsetting, particularly those on the receiving end of such tirades. Players that screwed up in practice were chewed up and torn down in front of everybody. No exceptions. No favoritism.

Is this tactic effective to achieve desired results on the gridiron? There are different schools of thought on coaching style and discipline. Some players really respond well to the less confrontational, but still demanding, approach of Jim Tressel, Pete Carroll, Steve Spurrier and Tom Osborne, as examples.. Other football players excel under the fear of totalitarian retribution akin to the leadership of Bo Schembechler, Woody Hayes and Rich Rodriguez -the “Three yards and cloud of profanity” approach.

I’ll close with a quote from a former starting linebacker at West Virginia 2001-2004, Scott Gyorko, who was quoted in this Freep article back in December 2007:
After enduring a rough season, Rodriguez is less abrasive yet still firm. With time, he has gained a better understanding of his players and vice versa.

"When he first got here, he was really strict and wanted things his own way," WVU sophomore linebacker Scott Gyorko said. "Now, he's more laid-back and is settling down. He's different on and off the field. Off the field, he's really approachable and is nice. On the field, he's a head coach and he wants things done his way and he's going to have his way."

Rodriguez hears the comments about him being more relaxed and chuckles. According to him, the change comes from how his players are performing.

"One reason I'm so-called mellow is because we're doing what I want," Rodriguez said. "Sometimes, it's not bad when you have an edge when you're trying to get something going. I tell our kids, 'The only time we get on you is when you screw up. If you don't make as many mental mistakes, we won't yell at you.' They understand us more as people and we understand them better as people. It's like a family. The more you're around each other, the more you understand and love each other."
I suspect things will change at Michigan when the team performance improves. However, given past data, it would be a mistake to assume that football player departures at Michigan will decline under new head coach Rich Rodriguez.